The crypto market · 2026-09-07 UTC

The market is early recovery.

Bitcoin has a confirmed low and bullish bars, but breadth hasn't caught up. Leaders first, laggards later.

Early recovery score 5
How this label was reached
BTC monthly low is freshconfirmed 2026-07-31, month 2 since+2
BTC monthly bar bullish2U green+2
BTC above 200-day averageMayer 1.14+1
137Red List
143Amber List
76Watch
154Phoenix (monthly)
One year, base 100
50751002025-092026-032026-09
Equal-weight index (293 coins)BitcoinEther

equal-weight, rebalanced daily, base 100 — every coin with a full year of Coinbase history. Total market cap $2.70T, Bitcoin dominance 59.2% (CoinGecko, 2026-09-07).

Blue chips

BTCBitcoin

$79,896+1.7% 7d
M2UW1D1mixed
  • Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 57,718 (Jul 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 7.5. Cycle-low confidence 21%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 62,210 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 13%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 76,219 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 30%.

Phoenix · monthly

ETHEthereum

$2,503+1.5% 7d
M1W1D1mixed
  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1,505 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 8. Cycle-low confidence 43%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1,820 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 2,355 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 2,547. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 2,355 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 35%.

Phoenix · monthly

BNBBNB

$746.77+8.0% 7d
M2UW1D1mixed
  • Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 536.71 (Jul 2026), month 2 of a cycle that has typically run 3.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 555.10 (Jul 2026), week 8 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 67%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 674.41 (2026-09-01), day 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 30%.

Phoenix · monthly

XRPXRP

$1.41+2.0% 7d
M1W1D1mixed
  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.91 (Jun 2025), month 15 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.9873 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.70. Cycle-low confidence 27%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.05 (Jul 2026), week 8 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 0.9873 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.70. Cycle-low confidence 58%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.31 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 33%.

Watch

SOLSolana

$105.38+2.3% 7d
M1W1D1mixed
  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 60.11 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 3. Cycle-low confidence 24%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 70.51 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 44%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 97.33 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 37%.

Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly

ZECZcash

$1,186+39.9% 7d
M2UW1D1mixed
  • Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 250.00 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 46%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 465.72 (Aug 2026), week 4 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 21%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 788.14 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 32%.

Phoenix · monthly

HYPEHyperliquid

$87.13+3.5% 7d
M2UW1D1mixed
  • Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 51.10 (Aug 2026).
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 51.10 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 55%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 80.12 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 59%.

DOGEDogecoin

$0.0900+8.7% 7d
M1W1D1mixed
  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.07991 (Feb 2026), month 7 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 0.06762 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.1009. Cycle-low confidence 67%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.06762 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 59%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.08009 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 18%.

Amber List Phoenix · weekly

LINKChainlink

$13.05+15.3% 7d
M2UW1D1mixed
  • Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 7.00 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 3.5. Cycle-low confidence 31%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 7.88 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 44%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 10.91 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 29%.

Phoenix · monthly

ADACardano

$0.2216+12.1% 7d
M1W1D2Umixed
  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1381 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 3. Cycle-low confidence 46%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1533 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.1711 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2587. Cycle-low confidence 28%.
  • Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.2092 (2026-09-05), day 2 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 20%.

Amber List Recovering Phoenix · monthly

XLMStellar

$0.1867+5.3% 7d
M1W2UD2Ubullish lean
  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 0.1361 (Feb 2026), month 7 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 85%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.1713 (Sep 2026), week 1 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.1524 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 0.2226. Cycle-low confidence 59%.
  • Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.1713 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 26%.

Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly

BCHBitcoin Cash

$257.57+4.2% 7d
M1W1D1mixed
  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 180.15 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 8. Cycle-low confidence 39%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 199.62 (Aug 2026), week 4 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 34%.
  • Daily: bar is a red inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 244.89 (2026-09-05), day 2 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Cycle-low confidence 33%.

Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly

LTCLitecoin

$54.50+12.3% 7d
M2UW2UD2Ufull bullish continuity
  • Monthly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 39.21 (Jun 2026), month 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 22%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 43.33 (Aug 2026), week 4 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 28%.
  • Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 47.45 (2026-08-30), day 8 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 52%.

Watch Recovering Phoenix · monthly

AVAXAvalanche

$7.84+8.4% 7d
M1W2UD2Ubullish lean
  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 7.53 (Feb 2026), month 7 of a cycle that has typically run 4. Current low 5.68 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 9.06. Cycle-low confidence 38%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 6.11 (Aug 2026), week 4 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 25%.
  • Daily: bar is a red 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 7.04 (2026-09-02), day 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 14%.

Amber List Phoenix · weekly

DOTPolkadot

$0.9973+18.7% 7d
M1W2UD2Ubullish lean
  • Monthly: forming bar is a green inside bar. Last confirmed swing low 1.15 (Apr 2026), month 5 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.7238 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.03. Cycle-low confidence 68%.
  • Weekly: forming bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.743 (Aug 2026), week 6 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Current low 0.7238 is unconfirmed — it confirms above 1.03. Cycle-low confidence 40%.
  • Daily: bar is a green 2-Up. Last confirmed swing low 0.8416 (2026-09-04), day 3 of a cycle that has typically run 5. Cycle-low confidence 49%.

Amber List

Breadth

of 390 coins with enough history, stablecoins and wrappers excluded
33.1%above their 200-day average129 of 390
12.8%weekly bar bullish (2-Up or green 3)50 of 390
25.4%monthly bar bullish99 of 390
49.2%confirmed a monthly low in the last 3 months192 of 390
11full bullish continuity (D+W+M)
1full bearish continuity (D+W+M)
154on the Broken list and recovering
251Phoenix names (monthly + weekly)

Top opportunities

Deep decline, confirmed monthly swing low, early in the recovery — then weighed by fundamentals. Ranked by the opportunity score; the entry is always the pullback, never the chase.

CoinTierOpportunityPhoenixHealthDeclineAbove lowEntry90d
MLNEnzyme monthly80.587.580-96.9%+27.4% awaiting pullback
STRKStarknet monthly77.787.572-99.2%+41.2% awaiting pullback
ZRX0x Protocol monthly77.087.570-94.9%+42.3% awaiting pullback
BIGTIMEBig Time monthly72.587.557-99.5%+49.9% awaiting pullback
RPLRocket Pool monthly71.977.582-96.9%+30.9% awaiting pullback
PNGPangolin monthly71.887.555-97.8%+31.9% awaiting pullback
CoinTierDeclineHighDays sinceM / W / D90d
CAPCap Watch-46.4%2026-08-14241 2D 2D
GEODGeodnet Amber List-34.9%2026-07-27421 1 1
GROVEGrove Red List-82.7%2026-07-06631 1 1
GWEIETHGas Red List-90.1%2026-06-29701 1 2D
ARXArcium Red List-69.2%2026-06-23761 1 1
RERE Watch-58.5%2026-06-20791 1 1